Hawk Blogger Daily
Sunday, September 27, 2026 · Game day
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Mike Macdonald can set the NFL record for a head coach's best start on the road.

A win at Washington on Sunday puts him at 17-2 through his first 19 road games, alone at the top of NFL history. Sam Darnold is also back at quarterback for Seattle. Washington will be without Jayden Daniels, out with an elbow injury.

The record chase

Macdonald's shot at NFL history

Mike Macdonald is 16-2 in his first 18 regular season road games as Seattle's head coach. That ties George Seifert, who went 16-2 in his first 18 road games with the 49ers from 1989 to 1991, for the best start on the road by any coach in the NFL since 1922.

Sunday at Washington is Macdonald's 19th road game. A win makes him 17-2 and puts him alone at the top. Through 19 road games, the best anyone else has done is 16-3, a mark shared by Seifert and by Allie Sherman with the Giants from 1961 to 1963. A loss would leave Macdonald at 16-3, tied with them instead of ahead.

Macdonald's road games since 2024
DateOpponentScoreResult
Sep 15, 2024New England Patriots23-20W
Sep 30, 2024Detroit Lions29-42L
Oct 20, 2024Atlanta Falcons34-14W
Nov 17, 2024San Francisco 49ers20-17W
Dec 1, 2024New York Jets26-21W
Dec 8, 2024Arizona Cardinals30-18W
Dec 26, 2024Chicago Bears6-3W
Jan 5, 2025Los Angeles Rams30-25W
Sep 14, 2025Pittsburgh Steelers31-17W
Sep 25, 2025Arizona Cardinals23-20W
Oct 12, 2025Jacksonville Jaguars20-12W
Nov 2, 2025Washington Commanders38-14W
Nov 16, 2025Los Angeles Rams19-21L
Nov 23, 2025Tennessee Titans30-24W
Dec 7, 2025Atlanta Falcons37-9W
Dec 28, 2025Carolina Panthers27-10W
Jan 3, 2026San Francisco 49ers13-3W
Sep 20, 2026Arizona Cardinals31-7W

schedules

Seattle is 2-0 this season.

NFC West
TeamDivisionWLPFPA
SFWest206220
SEAWest204417
LAWest113533
ARIWest113345

nflverse

Darnold is back

Darnold is back

Sam Darnold is back at quarterback for Seattle on Sunday. He started the season opener, then left early. Drew Lock replaced him in that game, then started Week 2, and Seattle won both.

Washington will be without its own starter. Jayden Daniels is out for Sunday with an elbow injury. He has played 78.4% of Washington's offensive snaps this season.

Marcus Mariota relieved Daniels last week and went 11 for 16 for 111 yards and a touchdown.

Washington's passers this season
PlayerWeekAttCompYdsTDINTEPA
J.Daniels1341816420+4.85
J.Daniels217119610+0.18
M.Mariota2161111110+6.73

nflverse play-by-play

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🎉 Unlocked
Drew Lock filling inSmall sample

How Drew Lock did filling in

Darnold started the opener and left early. Drew Lock relieved him that game, then started Week 2. Seattle won both.

Lock went 16 for 22 for 187 yards and a touchdown in relief in Week 1, then 19 for 26 for 235 yards and 3 touchdowns in his Week 2 start. He did not throw an interception, and he totaled +6.4 EPA and +16.1 EPA in those two games.

Lock ranks 4th in the league in EPA per dropback through two weeks, among qualifying passers.

Seattle's passers this season
PlayerWeekAttCompYdsTDINTEPA
D.Lock1221618710+6.45
S.Darnold1211300−2.08
D.Lock2261923530+16.09

nflverse play-by-play

League passing EPA per dropback through Week 2, qualifying passers (min 20 dropbacks)
PlayerTeamDropbacksEPAEPA per dropbackRank
J.DartNYG36+20.80+0.581
B.PurdySF56+28.16+0.502
J.AllenBUF64+30.53+0.483
D.LockSEA50+22.53+0.454
D.PrescottDAL67+25.48+0.385

nflverse play-by-play

Who's out

Who's out

Both teams' full injury reports for Sunday.

Week 3 game status
TeamStatusPlayerPosInjury
SEAOutJulian LoveSCalf
SEAOutTy OkadaSHamstring
SEAQuestionableBrandon PiliDTConcussion
WASOutChig OkonkwoTEHamstring
WASOutFrankie LuvuLBGroin
WASOutJayden DanielsQBElbow
WASOutNick CrossSIllness
WASOutSam CosmiGConcussion

nflverse injury report. Pulled 2026-09-26 23:42 UTC

Snap shares this season for everyone on that list. A high share means the player has been a regular before this injury.

Snap shares this season
PlayerTeamPosSnapsSnap share
Julian LoveSEASAF11298.2%
Brandon PiliSEADT65.3%
Sam CosmiWASOT13197.8%
Nick CrossWASSAF10699.1%
Jayden DanielsWASQB10578.4%
Chig OkonkwoWASTE3828.4%
Frankie LuvuWASLB2826.2%

Sumer snap counts. A player out with no row here hasn't played a snap this season.

🎉 Unlocked
Washington's lineSmall sample

Washington's line loses a guard

Guard Sam Cosmi is out with a concussion. He had played 97.8% of Washington's offensive snaps this season.

Washington's offense has allowed pressure on 43.8% of dropbacks this season, above the league's 39.2%, though it has given up only 1 sack in 80 tries. Seattle's defense pressures at close to the league rate, 38.4%, with 5 sacks in 73 dropbacks, and it holds opponents to -0.15 expected points added per dropback.

Pressure and sacks so far this season
WhoDropbacksPressure rateSacksEPA
NFL2,23239.2%145+0.04
SEA defense7338.4%5−0.15
WAS offense8043.8%1+0.10

Sumer charting

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The number

The number

Kickoff is at 10 a.m. Pacific. Seattle opened as a 3.5 point favorite and is now favored by 7.5. The total opened at 46.5 and has come down to 40.5.

Sunday, at Washington
GameKickoffFavoriteTotal
Seattle Seahawks at Washington CommandersSun 10:00 AM PTSEA -7.540.5

nflverse schedules

How the line has moved
GameOpenedNowTotal openedTotal now
Seattle Seahawks at Washington CommandersSEA -3.5SEA -7.546.540.5

ESPN scoreboard. Pulled 2026-09-26 23:42 UTC. Wednesday is our own snapshot, taken on the Wednesday run.

🎉 Unlocked
Things to watchSmall sample

Five things to watch Sunday

Two games is a small sample. Here is what the numbers show so far.

1Seattle completed all 17 of its play action passes through two weeks, for 194 yards and the best EPA per dropback on those plays in the league. Does it carry over now that Darnold has the job back?

Play action passing this season, by team
TeamCompletionsAttemptsYardsEPA per dropbackRank
SEA1717194+0.901
LA4558+0.782
LV1115145+0.533
DEN1014122+0.504
CAR1017214+0.435

FTN charting joined to nflverse plays

EPA per dropback on play action, top eight teams
0.000.250.500.751.00SEALALVDENCARBUFSFATL+0.90+0.78+0.53+0.50+0.43+0.34+0.34+0.31

FTN charting joined to nflverse plays

2Seattle lines up under center more than most teams, third most in the league at 57.0%. From there it has passed 17 times at the league's best EPA per dropback, +0.94. It runs from there far more, 48 times, at -0.09 EPA per run, 13th in the league, right in the middle. What does Sunday look like with Darnold back?

Under center on dropbacks and runs this season, by team
TeamUnder-center rateEPA per dropbackEPA per runRun rank
SEA57.0%+0.94−0.0913
SF60.4%+0.69+0.008
CAR34.7%+0.50−0.2025
NYG42.5%+0.43−0.1018
LA53.6%+0.40−0.1522

nflverse play-by-play

3Seattle has the league's lowest 11 personnel rate this season, 32.2%. Out of 11 personnel, it passes 75.7% of the time. Out of 12 personnel, it passes 40.7% of the time. The grouping still leans pass from 11 and run from 12. Does Washington play it that way?

11 personnel rate this season, by team
Team11-personnel rateRank
TB84.2%1
PHI76.0%2
HOU74.8%3
LV35.4%30
SF32.7%31
SEA32.2%32

Sumer charting, corrected personnel label

Seattle's pass rate by personnel grouping, against the league
GroupingSeattle pass rateSeattle playsLeague pass rateLeague plays
1175.7%3768.5%2,305
1240.7%2742.6%890

Sumer charting, corrected personnel label

4Seattle already lines up in 11 personnel less than anyone in the league. It also throws to a tight end on just 10.0% of its targets this season, the lowest rate in the league. When does that change?

Share of targets to tight ends this season, by team
TeamTE target shareTargetsRank
NYG37.7%611
ARI36.5%632
MIN32.6%433
WAS14.1%6430
MIA14.0%5031
SEA10.0%5032

nflverse plays joined to player_mapping on gsis id

5Rashid Shaheed's top tracked speed is 19.31 miles per hour in Week 1 and 19.29 in Week 2, more than two miles per hour under his 2025 peak of 21.44 against the Giants. He topped 21 miles per hour only three times last year. Top speed depends on whether a play asks a receiver to run flat out. Does he get back to 21 this season?

Rashid Shaheed's top tracked speed by game
DateSeasonGame typeOpponentTop speed (mph)
Sep 28, 20252025REGBUF21.21
Oct 5, 20252025REGNYG21.44
Feb 8, 20262025SBNE21.23
Sep 9, 20262026REGNE19.31
Sep 20, 20262026REGARI19.29

Sumer player tracking

🎉 Unlocked
Around the NFLTwo weeks in

Who moved under center, and is it working?

26 of the league's 32 teams are lining up under center more often in 2026 than they did all of last season. Washington made one of the five biggest jumps of anyone.

Washington ran plays from under center 12.2% of the time in 2025. This year that rate is up to 31.9% so far. It has not paid off yet. Washington is averaging -0.18 EPA per play from under center this season, against +0.18 EPA per play from shotgun.

QB under center, share of runs and passes, 2025 to 2026 so far
0%20%40%60%80%2025 rate2026 rateSFBUFSEA53.8% to 57.0%LVDETLACHINEINDMINATLBALJAXARINYGNYJTBMIACLETENPITCARKCCINNODENGBWAS12.2% to 31.9%PHIDALLACHOU

nflverse play-by-play

Across the league, teams are averaging -0.03 EPA per play from under center this season, against +0.04 EPA per play from shotgun. Shotgun is still the better formation on average, even with more teams working under center.

EPA per play under center vs shotgun, 2026 regular season so far
GroupPlaysEPA per play
Washington under center43−0.18
Washington shotgun92+0.18
League under center1,649−0.03
League shotgun2,314+0.04

nflverse play-by-play

🎉 Unlocked
Washington's blitz habitSmall sample

Washington's blitz habit

Washington blitzes on 43.5% of dropbacks, above the league's 30.1%. When it blitzes, opponents average -0.22 expected points added. When it does not, they average +0.66. The blitz is doing most of the work for this defense.

Seattle's offense faces blitzes on 35.2% of dropbacks, also above average. Pressure jumps to 73.7% when a blitz comes, but Seattle still averages +0.33 expected points added on those plays, close to its +0.41 average when defenses don't blitz.

Dropbacks with and without a blitz
Blitz rateEPA, no blitzEPA, blitzPressure, blitz
NFL30.1%+0.05−0.0446.0%
SEA offense35.2%+0.41+0.3373.7%
WAS defense43.5%+0.66−0.2243.3%

Sumer charting. EPA from the offense's side, so for a defense lower is better.

🎉 Unlocked
Seattle's run defense

Seattle's run defense meets Washington's ground game

Seattle allows -0.43 expected points added per rush, 2nd in the league. Washington's own rushing offense ranks 10th in rush EPA.

Rush EPA and rank, both sides of the ball
TeamRush EPArkvs runrk
SEA−0.18422−0.4262
WAS−0.06510−0.20611

nflverse play-by-play. On defense, lower is better, so rank 1 is the stingiest.

The latest show
SEAHAWKS SATURDAY: Looking Across The NFC Watch
Monday: the self-scout of the Washington game, from the biggest plays to personnel and coverage.

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