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Friday, Oct 9 · Game week

BlueFriday

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It's Free Friday. Every section of today's issue is open.

Super BowlXLVIIIChampions2013 seasonSEA 43 · DEN 8
Super BowlLXChampions2025 seasonSEA 29 · NE 13
Next up · Week 5 #2 Seahawks3-1 · HB rating +5.1 #1 vs 49ers4-0 · HB rating +5.8
Sun · 1:25 PM PTLumen Field
1Days22Hours55Min
HB modelSEA by 1.3
Game week · vs 49ers

Locker Room

Brian talked with 7 Seahawks on Wednesday and Thursday. Tap a player to listen.

Apple Podcasts →

Drake Thomas and Eric Saubert

I played an AI locker room speech for Eric Saubert. He fired a shot at Drake Thomas, and I asked Drake to respond.

Thu ago

Drake Thomas

Responds To Saubert Slander

Thu ago

Eric Saubert

Judges AI Locker Room Speech

Thu ago

Charles Cross

Charles Cross shared his thoughts on the 49ers matchup and his own play so far

Wed ago

Uchenna Nwosu

Uchenna Nwosu shared his perspective on this game against the Niners and the players-only meeting

Wed ago

Trevon Diggs and Mike Evans

Trevon Diggs talked about his first reps on the field as a Seahawk and his past playing Mike Evans

Wed ago

Derick Hall

Talks Players Only Meeting

Wed ago
From the team facility

Today in Renton

Brian's clips first.

Follow on X →
0:08

Newcomer Robert Henry Jr getting an intro to shadow boxing by Devon Witherspoon

51m · on X
Final injury report · Friday

Game status: Seahawks vs 49ers

Game designations are final. Seahawks.com →

Seahawks

Chazz Surratt LB · Calf Out
Julian Neal CB · Hamstring Out
Zach Charbonnet RB · Knee Out
George Holani RB · Ribs, Knee Questionable
Irvin Charles WR · Knee Questionable
Beau Stephens G · Knee No designation
Ernest Jones LB · NIR-Resting Player No designation
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · NIR-Resting Player No designation
Leonard Williams DT · Ankle No designation
Nehemiah Pritchett CB · Ankle No designation
Patrick O'Connell LB · Thumb No designation
Ty Okada S · Hamstring No designation
Tyrice Knight LB · Ankle No designation

49ers

The 49ers haven't filed Friday's report yet.

1:06:54
Latest episode · Fri, Oct 9 · 5.8K views

NFL Offseason Strategies: Early Returns

Mike Sando joins for his weekly visit as we dive into the early returns on how teams across the NFL attacked their offseasons. What has worked? What has not? Two teams that took…

Listen to this episodeDaily Seahawks Podcast
Ad-free on Patreon Earlier this week
  • The Undercard: Fleury vs Morris0:57
  • REAL HAWK TALK: Should Seattle Go After Saquon?1:14
  • FIRST LOOK: Previewing Seahawks vs 49ers1:48
Locker Room · 13 player clips this week→

This Week in the Numbers

HB Analytics →

Biggest edges

vs 49ers
  1. Passing game Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WRvsUpton Stout SF CB Seahawks by 17 yards, over about 7 routes
  2. Pass rush Keion White SF EDGEvsCharles Cross SEA T Seahawks by 0.2 pressures, over about 7 pass-rush reps
  3. Run game Osa Odighizuwa SF IDLvsGrey Zabel SEA G Seahawks by 0.3 disruptions, over about 9 runs
  4. Run game Demarcus Lawrence SEA EDGEvsColton McKivitz SF T Seahawks by 0.3 disruptions, over about 7 runs
  5. Run game Jarran Reed SEA IDLvsJake Brendel SF C 49ers by 0.2 disruptions, over about 5 runs

Best battles

Good against good
  1. Pass rush Osa Odighizuwa SF IDLvsJalen Sundell SEA C 49ers by 0.02 pressures, over about 18 pass-rush reps
  2. Pass rush Uchenna Nwosu SEA EDGEvsColton McKivitz SF T 49ers by 0.03 pressures, over about 6 pass-rush reps

The HB matchup model: each player's opponent-adjusted grade over the reps he's projected to see against the other. Data: HB matchup model on Sumer Sports charting.

Insight of the Day

HB Daily →
TodayFri, Oct 9 · Entering Sunday

San Francisco's defense has slipped the last two games

San Francisco's defense held up well through the first two weeks, allowing minus 0.12 EPA per play, 8th in the NFL. Over the last two games it has allowed plus 0.094 EPA per play, 23rd in the league. The success rate allowed tells the same story: 41.7% through two weeks, 45.6% over the last two.

San Francisco's defense, by week
WeekOpponentEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowed
1LA−0.22643.3%
2MIA−0.01540.0%
3ARI+0.14751.8%
4DEN+0.04139.4%
Read today's issue
YesterdayThu, Oct 8 · Seattle's offense

Seattle has scored 30 or more points in three straight games for the first time since 2020

The team total still trails last year's pace, 105 points to 111 through four games. Take out two non-offensive touchdowns from last year, a kickoff-return score at Pittsburgh in Week 2 and a punt return against New Orleans in Week 3, and the offense is ahead, 105 to 97.

Seattle's first four games, offense only
SeasonOff TDsReturn TDsFGs made
20251029
20261305
Read yesterday's issue
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HB Analytics

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Team Grid of the Day · TodayBuild your own grid →

Efficient or explosive?

SUCCESS RATE · BETTER →EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: 46.3% (11th), 3.9% (32nd)Atlanta Falcons: 49.2% (5th), 10.7% (7th)Baltimore Ravens: 51.7% (2nd), 14.2% (2nd)Buffalo Bills: 48.1% (7th), 15.5% (1st)Carolina Panthers: 44.3% (14th), 11.0% (5th)Chicago Bears: 47.9% (8th), 11.0% (6th)Cincinnati Bengals: 44.9% (12th), 8.9% (19th)Cleveland Browns: 43.0% (17th), 7.6% (25th)Dallas Cowboys: 47.9% (9th), 7.5% (26th)Denver Broncos: 40.7% (25th), 7.1% (30th)Detroit Lions: 49.4% (4th), 9.4% (14th)Green Bay Packers: 39.2% (28th), 8.2% (20th)Houston Texans: 41.6% (21st), 10.4% (9th)Indianapolis Colts: 43.0% (18th), 9.2% (17th)Jacksonville Jaguars: 49.8% (3rd), 10.5% (8th)Kansas City Chiefs: 48.8% (6th), 12.1% (4th)Los Angeles Rams: 47.0% (10th), 10.1% (11th)Los Angeles Chargers: 40.4% (26th), 9.4% (15th)Las Vegas Raiders: 42.8% (20th), 8.2% (21st)Miami Dolphins: 34.8% (31st), 9.5% (13th)Minnesota Vikings: 33.0% (32nd), 7.3% (28th)New England Patriots: 43.0% (19th), 9.6% (12th)New Orleans Saints: 44.3% (15th), 7.3% (29th)New York Giants: 39.9% (27th), 6.3% (31st)New York Jets: 43.8% (16th), 8.9% (18th)Philadelphia Eagles: 37.3% (30th), 7.5% (27th)Pittsburgh Steelers: 41.1% (22nd), 9.3% (16th)San Francisco 49ers: 54.5% (1st), 14.0% (3rd)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 40.9% (24th), 8.0% (22nd)Tennessee Titans: 40.9% (23rd), 7.9% (23rd)Washington Commanders: 38.8% (29th), 7.8% (24th)Seattle Seahawks: 44.4% (13th), 10.3% (10th)BothBig plays, few small onesSteady, no splashNeither
SUCCESS RATE · BETTER →EXPLOSIVE PLAY RATE · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: 46.3% (11th), 3.9% (32nd)Atlanta Falcons: 49.2% (5th), 10.7% (7th)Baltimore Ravens: 51.7% (2nd), 14.2% (2nd)Buffalo Bills: 48.1% (7th), 15.5% (1st)Carolina Panthers: 44.3% (14th), 11.0% (5th)Chicago Bears: 47.9% (8th), 11.0% (6th)Cincinnati Bengals: 44.9% (12th), 8.9% (19th)Cleveland Browns: 43.0% (17th), 7.6% (25th)Dallas Cowboys: 47.9% (9th), 7.5% (26th)Denver Broncos: 40.7% (25th), 7.1% (30th)Detroit Lions: 49.4% (4th), 9.4% (14th)Green Bay Packers: 39.2% (28th), 8.2% (20th)Houston Texans: 41.6% (21st), 10.4% (9th)Indianapolis Colts: 43.0% (18th), 9.2% (17th)Jacksonville Jaguars: 49.8% (3rd), 10.5% (8th)Kansas City Chiefs: 48.8% (6th), 12.1% (4th)Los Angeles Rams: 47.0% (10th), 10.1% (11th)Los Angeles Chargers: 40.4% (26th), 9.4% (15th)Las Vegas Raiders: 42.8% (20th), 8.2% (21st)Miami Dolphins: 34.8% (31st), 9.5% (13th)Minnesota Vikings: 33.0% (32nd), 7.3% (28th)New England Patriots: 43.0% (19th), 9.6% (12th)New Orleans Saints: 44.3% (15th), 7.3% (29th)New York Giants: 39.9% (27th), 6.3% (31st)New York Jets: 43.8% (16th), 8.9% (18th)Philadelphia Eagles: 37.3% (30th), 7.5% (27th)Pittsburgh Steelers: 41.1% (22nd), 9.3% (16th)San Francisco 49ers: 54.5% (1st), 14.0% (3rd)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 40.9% (24th), 8.0% (22nd)Tennessee Titans: 40.9% (23rd), 7.9% (23rd)Washington Commanders: 38.8% (29th), 7.8% (24th)Seattle Seahawks: 44.4% (13th), 10.3% (10th)BothBig plays, few small onesSteady, no splashNeither

Seattle: 13th in success rate (44.4%), 10th in explosive play rate (10.3%).

Both · 1149ersRavensBillsChiefsJaguarsFalconsBearsLions+3 more

Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →

This week
Team Evaluator · last 4 games

Seattle's trends

Offense · 13ththis season
−0.100.00+0.10+0.20+0.07Week 1: vs. New England PatriotsWk 1+0.13Week 2: at Arizona CardinalsWk 2−0.05Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4
Defense · 2ndlower is better
−0.40−0.200.00+0.20−0.11Week 1: vs. New England PatriotsWk 1−0.33Week 2: at Arizona CardinalsWk 2−0.08Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4

The dashed line is the NFL average that week. Green beat it, orange didn't.

Open the Team Evaluator →
Updated 8h ago

Power Rankings

Biggest climb: Buccaneers ▲4 to 21st

See all 32 →
Player Evaluator

Seahawks by VOR

Julian LoveS169 VOR · 29th in NFL
Leonard WilliamsIDL167 VOR · 34th in NFL
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR166 VOR · 37th in NFL
Charles CrossOT151 VOR · 81st in NFL
All 777 regulars →
Seahawks Cap Outlook · 2026

Where the money goes

Sam DarnoldQB$37.9M
Uchenna NwosuEDGE$20.0M
Cooper KuppWR$17.5M

The biggest 2026 cap hits, of $293.5M on 61 players.

Open →
XLatest from BrianFollow on X
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 8m

Final Injury Report: Seahawks vs 49ers

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 51m

Newcomer Robert Henry Jr getting an intro to shadow boxing by Devon Witherspoon

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 53m

Leonard Williams has no designation and is good to play OUT Charbonnet Julian Neal Chazz Surratt QUESTIONABLE Irv Charles Holani knee added today

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 1h

Leonard Williams has no designation and is good to play OUT Charbonnet Irv Charles Julian Neal Chazz Surratt QUESTIONABLE Holani knee added today

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

Jeff Simmons Show: How bad is this draft class?

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 3h

An interesting list of Top 20 IOL run blockers, using @SumerSports player versus player matchup data. Bills with 2 of the Top 5. Jags getting good returns on rookie Pregnon. Seahawks with both Zabel and Christian Haynes showing up.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 4h

A look at which teams are getting the biggest early returns on their offseason across the NFL. VOR = Value Over Replacement Min 100 snaps played per player The chart shows score per player and total VOR added. Bengals and Falcons have added the most talent. Rams most per player (McDuffie carrying a lot of water here). Browns, Ravens, Bears all doing well.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 5h

Which teams are getting good returns so far on their offseasons? @SandoNFL shared his thoughts, as well as whether he feels better about the Seahawks or 49ers over the rest of the season.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 5h

Pulled this for the show this morning after @SandoNFL brought up his research into Matt Stafford. Check out the lower left quadrant: Stafford Drake Maye Jameis Winston Justin Herbert Bo Nix Jordan Love Jalen Hurts Daniel Jones

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