HawkBlogger

All Seahawks. All The Time.
Join on Patreon
Latest updates
1 / 6
Next · Week 6 · Thu, Oct 15 Seahawks3-2#2 at Broncos3-2#15 HB modelSEA by 2.2
Biggest moves this week
  1. 10Packers from #20▲ 10+1.5
  2. 9Patriots from #14▲ 5+2.0
  3. 18Bears from #7▼ 11−0.6
  4. 22Raiders from #11▼ 11−1.8
Also today
Darnold's success rate under center and from the gun, 2025 vs 2026
0%20%40%60%80%Under centerShotgunSuccess 2025Success 202655.2%59.0%50.9%36.6%

nflverse play-by-play, Sumer charting (computed 2026-10-12 by 2026-10-12-darnold-alignment-bootlegs.py)

Seahawks Darnold's success under center has held up. The gun is a different story
Seattle's EPA per bootleg, rolling left vs right, 2025 vs 2026
−1.5−1.0−0.50.00.51.0LeftRight20252026+0.44−0.98+0.83+0.82

nflverse play-by-play, Sumer charting (computed 2026-10-12 by 2026-10-12-darnold-alignment-bootlegs.py)

Seahawks Seattle still bootlegs as much as last year. It just doesn't work anymore
Darnold's EPA per dropback by coverage, 2025 vs 2026
−0.75−0.50−0.250.000.250.50ManZone20252026+0.275−0.600+0.116+0.048

Sumer coverage charting, nflverse EPA

Seahawks Darnold is holding the ball longer, and man coverage is the wall
Seattle used to max protect more than any team in football. This year it barely does, and the results have been great.Free readers pick 2 a day. Patrons read every section. SeahawksLocked Seattle stopped max protecting, and it worked every time it didn't stop Does Seattle's line do better with a tackle kicked outside? The alignment it leans on most says yes, against the one it uses second most.Free readers pick 2 a day. Patrons read every section. Your watchLocked Williams outside beats both tackles inside Seattle's next opponent has a linebacker who grades out poorly in man coverage.Free readers pick 2 a day. Patrons read every section. Thursday's matchupLocked Denver's Alex Singleton has struggled in man coverage all season Denver sent Seattle four draft picks for Russell Wilson. Here's what each one turned into, and what it costs to keep them.Free readers pick 2 a day. Patrons read every section. HistoryLocked Three of Russell Wilson's four draft picks are starting for Seattle
Today's insight · Read today's issue

Today in Renton

From the team facility
Video 1Insert a tape
HB COLOR12
HAWKBLOGGERSYSTEM 12
HB-1985 · VHS HQ · FRONT LOADING
12:00

Pick a tape and it goes in the VCR. The full press conferences play on Seahawks.com.

Today
More from Renton
More from Renton
More from Renton
Injury report 1 of 3 · Monday

Who's practicing: Seahawks at Broncos

Next report Tuesday about 4 PM PT. Seahawks.com →

DNP did not practice Ltd limited Full full · ▲ better ▼ worse than the last report · New added · Cleared off the report

Seahawks

Mon
Chazz Surratt LB · Calf DNP
Drake Thomas LB · Ankle DNP
Beau Stephens G · Shoulder Ltd
Drew Lock QB · Right Forearm Ltd
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · Ankle Ltd
Leonard Williams DT · Ankle Ltd
Zach Charbonnet RB · Knee Ltd
George Holani RB · Ribs, Knee Full
Irvin Charles WR · Knee Full

Broncos

Mon
Patrick Surtain CB · Ankle DNP
Talanoa Hufanga S · Ankle DNP
Riley Moss CB · Ribs Ltd
Sai'vion Jones DE · Shoulder Ltd
Ben Powers G · Biceps Full
Brandon Jones S · Foot Full

From the official report, as posted on X →

The Show

Presented by
All episodes →
1:11:20
Latest episode · Tue, Oct 13 · 10.9K views

How Would Matt Hasselbeck Fix The Offense?

It is time for our weekly visit with Matt Hasselbeck. We will see if the Seahawks Legend has answers for why Sam Darnold has regressed in the turnover and sack department, and…

Listen to this episodeDaily Seahawks Podcast
Ad-free on Patreon Earlier this week
  • Morning After: Seahawks Problems Mount0:46
  • POSTGAME SHOW: Seahawks Fumble Away Game0:44
  • HB LIVE! Grant Cohn Talks Heavy Weight Fight1:10
Locker Room · 8 player clips this week→
Brought to you by Local team. Local coverage.go.pemco.com/hawkblogger

This Week in the Numbers

HB Analytics →
Seahawks spotlight

Julian Love

Safety · Seahawks
169.3VOR

Franchise cornerstone. Seattle's No. 1 player by VOR this season.

942441969589Coverage Net PositivePlays %Missed Tackle%Yards Allowed perCoverage Snap (FTN)Pass Breakups + INTsper 100 Coverage SnapsRun Defense NetPositive Plays %Run Stuff Rate(FTN) %

Best at pass breakups + ints per 100 coverage snaps (96th percentile) and run defense net positive plays % (95th percentile). Weakest at missed tackle % (24th percentile).

Full profile in the Player Evaluator →
One to watch

Zach Allen

Interior D-line · Broncos
176.4VOR

Franchise cornerstone. The Broncos' best player by VOR.

929790542939829697Pass Rush WinRate %Pressure Rate vsBlockers Faced (pts)Run Defense NetPositive Plays %Run Disruption vsBlockers Faced (pts)Run Stuff Rate(FTN) %Missed Tackle%Pressure Rate(FTN) %Sack Rate%Quick Pressures per100 Rushes (FTN)

Best at quick pressures per 100 rushes (ftn) (97th percentile) and pressure rate vs blockers faced (pts) (97th percentile). Weakest at run stuff rate (ftn) % (29th percentile).

Full profile in the Player Evaluator →
One to pick on

Eyioma Uwazurike

Interior D-line · Broncos
65.4VOR

Below replacement. The lowest-rated regular in the Broncos' lineup.

502310227098448Pass Rush WinRate %Pressure Rate vsBlockers Faced (pts)Run Defense NetPositive Plays %Run Disruption vsBlockers Faced (pts)Run Stuff Rate(FTN) %Missed Tackle%Pressure Rate(FTN) %Sack Rate%Quick Pressures per100 Rushes (FTN)

Best at sack rate % (84th percentile) and missed tackle % (70th percentile). Weakest at run stuff rate (ftn) % (2nd percentile).

Full profile in the Player Evaluator →

Each spoke is one input to his VOR, scored against his position. The number in each dot is his percentile. The dashed ring is replacement level.

Insight of the Day

HB Daily →
TodayTue, Oct 13 · Seahawks

Darnold's success under center has held up. The gun is a different story

Darnold under center vs. the gun, 2025 and 2026
SeasonStatUnder centerShotgunNFL (UC / gun)
2025Share of dropbacks33%67%18% / 82%
2025EPA per dropback+0.32 (6th)+0.04 (23rd)+0.14 / +0.02
2025Success rate55% (7th)51% (4th)50% / 45%
2025Yards per attempt10.7 (2nd)7.5 (10th)7.9 / 6.9
2025INT rate3.8% (21st)2.6% (31st)2.0% / 2.2%
2026Share of dropbacks35%65%21% / 79%
4 more rows in the issue.
Read today's issue
YesterdayMon, Oct 12 · Seahawks

Seattle's offense had its worst game of the season, and still scored 29

Seattle kicked five field goals, 15 of the 29 points. Every kick came from between the San Francisco 22 and 32, and two of those drives included sacks in San Francisco territory.

Seattle's five field-goal drives
QuarterKickKicked fromSacks on the drive
249 yardsSF 310
250 yardsSF 322
343 yardsSF 250
348 yardsSF 300
440 yardsSF 221
Read yesterday's issue
Get HB Daily freeThe last game, the next one, and the numbers that explain both. In your inbox every morning.

Seahawks Gear

Shop all gear →
Jaxon Smith-Njigba102 rec yds, 1 rec TD, 5 catches vs the 49ers

HawkBlogger earns a commission when you buy through these links. It helps keep the show going.

HB Analytics

All tools →
Team Grid of the Day · TodayBuild your own grid →

How each offense moves the ball

DROPBACK EPA · BETTER →RUSH EPA PER PLAY · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: +0.010 (21st), −0.045 (17th)Atlanta Falcons: −0.124 (27th), +0.046 (6th)Baltimore Ravens: +0.238 (5th), +0.079 (4th)Buffalo Bills: +0.353 (2nd), +0.186 (1st)Carolina Panthers: +0.230 (6th), −0.047 (18th)Chicago Bears: +0.057 (18th), +0.028 (8th)Cincinnati Bengals: +0.147 (11th), −0.048 (19th)Cleveland Browns: +0.049 (19th), −0.188 (29th)Dallas Cowboys: +0.195 (8th), −0.013 (14th)Denver Broncos: −0.096 (25th), −0.098 (22nd)Detroit Lions: +0.283 (3rd), −0.005 (13th)Green Bay Packers: +0.106 (14th), −0.292 (32nd)Houston Texans: +0.110 (13th), −0.115 (25th)Indianapolis Colts: −0.157 (30th), +0.099 (3rd)Jacksonville Jaguars: +0.276 (4th), +0.011 (9th)Kansas City Chiefs: +0.213 (7th), +0.148 (2nd)Los Angeles Rams: +0.129 (12th), −0.005 (12th)Los Angeles Chargers: −0.214 (32nd), −0.180 (28th)Las Vegas Raiders: +0.148 (10th), −0.224 (31st)Miami Dolphins: −0.128 (28th), +0.005 (11th)Minnesota Vikings: −0.040 (23rd), −0.114 (24th)New England Patriots: +0.169 (9th), −0.016 (16th)New Orleans Saints: −0.029 (22nd), −0.092 (21st)New York Giants: +0.103 (15th), −0.139 (26th)New York Jets: +0.037 (20th), −0.105 (23rd)Philadelphia Eagles: −0.083 (24th), −0.148 (27th)Pittsburgh Steelers: −0.098 (26th), +0.057 (5th)San Francisco 49ers: +0.413 (1st), +0.006 (10th)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: −0.140 (29th), +0.037 (7th)Tennessee Titans: −0.186 (31st), −0.067 (20th)Washington Commanders: +0.065 (17th), −0.014 (15th)Seattle Seahawks: +0.087 (16th), −0.218 (30th)Both workRun firstAir it outStuck
DROPBACK EPA · BETTER →RUSH EPA PER PLAY · BETTER →NFL medianArizona Cardinals: +0.010 (21st), −0.045 (17th)Atlanta Falcons: −0.124 (27th), +0.046 (6th)Baltimore Ravens: +0.238 (5th), +0.079 (4th)Buffalo Bills: +0.353 (2nd), +0.186 (1st)Carolina Panthers: +0.230 (6th), −0.047 (18th)Chicago Bears: +0.057 (18th), +0.028 (8th)Cincinnati Bengals: +0.147 (11th), −0.048 (19th)Cleveland Browns: +0.049 (19th), −0.188 (29th)Dallas Cowboys: +0.195 (8th), −0.013 (14th)Denver Broncos: −0.096 (25th), −0.098 (22nd)Detroit Lions: +0.283 (3rd), −0.005 (13th)Green Bay Packers: +0.106 (14th), −0.292 (32nd)Houston Texans: +0.110 (13th), −0.115 (25th)Indianapolis Colts: −0.157 (30th), +0.099 (3rd)Jacksonville Jaguars: +0.276 (4th), +0.011 (9th)Kansas City Chiefs: +0.213 (7th), +0.148 (2nd)Los Angeles Rams: +0.129 (12th), −0.005 (12th)Los Angeles Chargers: −0.214 (32nd), −0.180 (28th)Las Vegas Raiders: +0.148 (10th), −0.224 (31st)Miami Dolphins: −0.128 (28th), +0.005 (11th)Minnesota Vikings: −0.040 (23rd), −0.114 (24th)New England Patriots: +0.169 (9th), −0.016 (16th)New Orleans Saints: −0.029 (22nd), −0.092 (21st)New York Giants: +0.103 (15th), −0.139 (26th)New York Jets: +0.037 (20th), −0.105 (23rd)Philadelphia Eagles: −0.083 (24th), −0.148 (27th)Pittsburgh Steelers: −0.098 (26th), +0.057 (5th)San Francisco 49ers: +0.413 (1st), +0.006 (10th)Tampa Bay Buccaneers: −0.140 (29th), +0.037 (7th)Tennessee Titans: −0.186 (31st), −0.067 (20th)Washington Commanders: +0.065 (17th), −0.014 (15th)Seattle Seahawks: +0.087 (16th), −0.218 (30th)Both workRun firstAir it outStuck

Seattle: 16th in dropback EPA (+0.087), 30th in rush EPA per play (−0.218).

Both work · 9BillsRavensChiefs49ersJaguarsLionsCowboysRams+1 more

Data: nflverse play-by-play. Open this grid →

This week
Team Evaluator · last 4 games

Seattle's trends

Offense · 24ththis season
−0.60−0.40−0.20−0.00+0.20+0.13Week 2: at Arizona CardinalsWk 2−0.05Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4−0.43Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ersWk 5
Defense · 2ndlower is better
−0.40−0.200.00+0.20−0.33Week 2: at Arizona CardinalsWk 2−0.08Week 3: at Washington CommandersWk 3−0.09Week 4: vs. Los Angeles ChargersWk 4−0.14Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ersWk 5

The dashed line is the NFL average that week. Green beat it, orange didn't.

Open the Team Evaluator →
Updated 1h ago

Power Rankings

−5avg+5+10Wk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5San Francisco 49ers: Wk 1 +2.1 · Wk 2 +4.0 · Wk 3 +5.2 · Wk 4 +5.6 · Wk 5 +6.1Los Angeles Rams: Wk 1 +0.3 · Wk 2 +3.2 · Wk 3 +2.8 · Wk 4 +3.0 · Wk 5 +2.7Arizona Cardinals: Wk 1 +0.9 · Wk 2 -1.7 · Wk 3 -2.8 · Wk 4 -3.2 · Wk 5 -4.7Seattle Seahawks: Wk 1 +3.4 · Wk 2 +6.0 · Wk 3 +5.4 · Wk 4 +5.4 · Wk 5 +4.5

Seattle trails the 49ers by 1.5 points of HB rating, 2nd in the NFL. Ranks are in the NFL.

See all 32 →
Player Evaluator

Seahawks by VOR

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR172 VOR · 24th in NFL
Julian LoveS170 VOR · 28th in NFL
Byron MurphyIDL166 VOR · 38th in NFL
Leonard WilliamsIDL164 VOR · 44th in NFL
All 847 regulars →
Seahawks Cap Outlook · 2026

Where the money goes

Nehemiah PritchettCB157 VOR on $1.17M
Rodney ThomasS116 VOR on $0.96M
Jalen SundellOL107 VOR on $1.07M
George HolaniRB92 VOR on $1.07M
Christian HaynesOL135 VOR on $1.58M

Most value over replacement per $1M of 2026 cap.

Open →
XLatest from BrianFollow on X
Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 29m

Rams lose their LT for two games because of the same immaturity and violent temper that has led to multiple off field incidents. One area they struggle with is depth at tackle we will see how they manage Stafford‘s blindside

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 52m

The Seahawks activated Irv Charles from IR and released Velus Jones Jr. from the 53. Charles was acquired via trade and is considered an impact special teams player. He also showed some nice moments as a receiver during camp. Jones can be resigned to the practice squad.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 58m

This would have him back to play the Seahawks

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

Julian Love talked about how they felt Ty Okada being back in the lineup

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

You guys didn't give up any plays over 19 yards the first two weeks, but explosives have started showing up. How do you get back? "Challenging at the point of contact is a high priority for us right now."

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

The Seahawks defense played a very good game against the 49ers, but the red zone defense continues to be an issue. I asked Julian Love about whether they see that turning around soon.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

Cooper Kupp talks about the increase in fumbles across the NFL and that it looked like the Rams and Bills did not want to hand the ball of toward the end to avoid a turnover.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

Seahawks are seeing more Cover 0 and more man coverage. I asked Cooper Kupp why.

Brian Nemhauser@hawkblogger · 2h

Cooper Kupp explains that even though he thought he got the first down, he acknowledges they should not have put themselves in position for it to matter.

More on X →
New York Times bestseller

We Did Not Care

How the Seattle Seahawks silenced all doubts and became Super Bowl LX champions.

#5 NYT bestseller#1 Amazon hot new release
Get the book
Now live

HB Daily

The best daily dose of Seahawks and NFL insights, delivered to your inbox.

One email address, nothing else. Unsubscribe any time.

Live & Tickets

All events →