Hawk Blogger Daily
Monday, October 12, 2026 · Self-scout

Seattle's offense had its worst game of the season, and still scored 29

San Francisco's defense ranked in the bottom half of the league in several spots. Seattle's line and backs didn't make it pay.

01SeahawksFree

Seattle's offense had its worst game of the season, and still scored 29

-0.328
EPA per play, Seattle's offense, a season low
32.7%
success rate, also a season low
-0.601
EPA per carry on the ground

Seattle's offense turned in its worst game of the season Sunday. Its -0.328 EPA per play and 32.7% success rate were both season lows, well off the -0.126 and 38.2% it posted the week before against the Chargers. The Seahawks still scored 29 points, helped by a short field off a muffed punt and a short field off a San Francisco fumble.

Seattle kicked five field goals, 15 of the 29 points. Every kick came from between the San Francisco 22 and 32, and two of those drives included sacks in San Francisco territory.

Seattle's five field-goal drives
QuarterKickKicked fromSacks on the drive
249 yardsSF 310
250 yardsSF 322
343 yardsSF 250
348 yardsSF 300
440 yardsSF 221

nflverse play-by-play

Seattle's offensive EPA per play, by week
−0.4−0.20.00.212345−0.33

nflverse play-by-play

Darnold faced pressure on 48.6% of his 35 dropbacks. Seattle's offense had allowed pressure on 46.5% of its dropbacks over its first four games, a little under Sunday's rate, and was sacked five times against the 49ers, a 14.3% rate, above the 4.7% it had allowed over those four games. Its average depth of target was 6.3 yards and its EPA per dropback was -0.347, both below its marks from those four games.

Seattle's dropbacks, this game and the three before it
This gameEarlier this season
Pressure rate allowed48.6%46.5%
Sack rate14.3%4.7%
Average depth of target6.37.0
EPA per dropback−0.35+0.15

Sumer charting

The run game was worse. Seattle carried the ball 25 times for 84 yards, a 3.4-yard average, and lost EPA on 72% of those carries. Emanuel Wilson led the way with 20 carries for 61 yards but averaged -0.416 EPA per carry. George Holani gained 7 yards on 4 carries and averaged -1.953. San Francisco's run defense ranked 31st in the league in rush success rate allowed entering the game. Seattle's offense still couldn't get its ground game going.

Seattle's ball carriers against the 49ers
RunnerCarriesYardsEPA per carrySuccess
E.Wilson2061−0.4225.0%
G.Holani47−1.9525.0%
S.Darnold15+1.55100.0%
J.Smith-Njigba116+1.11100.0%

nflverse play-by-play

Seattle also changed how it ran the ball. Thirteen of its 25 designed runs were gap runs, 52.0% of them. Gap runs use man, power, counter, trap or pull-lead blocking. That's up from 30.9% over its first four games and 25.3% in last season's three meetings with the 49ers. Gap runs have been Seattle's better scheme all year: a 41.2% success rate and 4.3 yards per carry over the first four games, against 36.2% and 4.0 on outside zone.

Seattle lost a fumble on each scheme Sunday. Leave those two runs out and gap runs still came out ahead: 12 runs at 4.7 yards and 0.012 EPA, against nine outside-zone runs at 2.8 yards and -0.222 EPA. Seattle's first five runs of the third quarter were all outside zone, and San Francisco had nine men in the box for three of them.

Seattle's designed runs by scheme
GamesSchemeYards per carryEPA per runSuccess rate
SundayGap4.5−0.4130.8%
SundayOutside zone2.1−0.9020.0%
Sunday, fumbles left outGap4.7+0.0133.3%
Sunday, fumbles left outOutside zone2.8−0.2222.2%
First four gamesGap4.3−0.0141.2%
First four gamesOutside zone4.0−0.2636.2%

Sumer charting. Gap runs are man, power, counter, trap and pull-lead. Seattle lost a fumble on one gap run and one outside-zone run Sunday.

02SeahawksFree

San Francisco went back to man coverage, and Seattle still hasn't solved it

31.4%
man coverage on Darnold's dropbacks, up from 11.9%
-0.402
Seattle's EPA per dropback against man over its first four games
23.1%
Seattle runs that faced eight or more in the box. The 49ers had done it on 51.4% of runs

San Francisco didn't play Seattle the way it played its first four opponents. It played man coverage on 31.4% of Darnold's dropbacks, up from 11.9%. Cover 1, one deep safety with man coverage underneath, rose from 11.0% to 28.6%. Cover 3, the 49ers' usual call, fell from 46.8% to 17.1%.

The 49ers leaned on man against Seattle last season too: 26.8% man and 24.7% Cover 1 across the three 2025 meetings, the playoff game included. Seattle handled it then, at 0.068 EPA per dropback against man. This year man coverage has been Seattle's weak spot. Over its first four games it averaged -0.402 EPA per dropback against man, with a 25.0% success rate and pressure on 58.3% of those dropbacks. Against zone it averaged 0.273. Sunday it was -0.502 against man. Drew Lock started two of those four games, and 24 dropbacks against man is a small sample, but it points one way.

Seattle's dropbacks against man and zone
GamesCoverageEPA per dropbackSuccess ratePressure rate
SundayMan−0.5027.3%54.5%
SundayZone−0.2837.5%45.8%
First four gamesMan−0.4025.0%58.3%
First four gamesZone+0.2757.3%42.7%
2025 vs 49ersMan+0.0752.6%21.1%
2025 vs 49ersZone+0.0651.9%25.0%

Sumer charting. Drew Lock started two of the first four games. Small samples, especially against man.

The 49ers also got home without sending extra rushers. They blitzed on 25.7% of Darnold's dropbacks, about their usual 26.3%. Their pressure rate was 48.6%, higher than the 35.3% they managed over their first four games and the 25.7% in the 2025 meetings. They did it without Nick Bosa, out with a knee injury.

San Francisco also played lighter fronts against the run. It put eight or more men in the box on 23.1% of Seattle's runs, after doing it on 51.4% of runs over its first four games. Seattle's first four opponents had done it on 44.6%. Seattle still averaged 3.4 yards a carry.

San Francisco's coverage and fronts against Seattle
49ers vs Seattle, Sunday49ers, first four games49ers vs Seattle, 2025Seattle's first four opponents
Man coverage31.4%11.9%26.8%20.0%
Cover 128.6%11.0%24.7%8.7%
Cover 317.1%46.8%41.1%20.5%
8+ in the box on runs23.1%51.4%56.1%44.6%

Sumer charting. Three 2025 meetings, including the Divisional round.

Catch the show live
VEGAS BABY! Real Hawk Talk LIVE & Book Signing
Sat, Nov 141 to 3 PMLegacy Club at Circa
Get tickets
03SeahawksFree

Seattle's defense played better than the scoreboard said

-0.188
EPA allowed per dropback
2nd
-0.127 EPA allowed per play this season, 2nd in the NFL
3 of 4
San Francisco touchdowns that followed a Seattle turnover

San Francisco scored 32 points, but most of that isn't on Seattle's defense. It's the team's best unit, 2nd in the NFL in EPA allowed per play this season, and Sunday backed that up. Three of San Francisco's four touchdowns followed Seattle turnovers. Darnold's interception gave the 49ers the ball at the Seattle 18, and Wilson's fumble gave it to them at the Seattle 11. Holani's fumble at the goal line was recovered in the end zone, so the defense never took the field for that one. San Francisco's only touchdown drive that started on its own side of the field began at its 26.

How San Francisco's touchdown drives started
QuarterTouchdownDrive startedSet up by
1M.EvansSEA 18Darnold interception
2C.McCaffreySEA 11Wilson fumble
2Fumble return, G.HaltonSeattle had the ballHolani fumble in Seattle's end zone
4B.CooksSF 26Kickoff

nflverse play-by-play

EPA allowed by base, nickel and dime, this game vs last season
−1.5−1.0−0.50.00.5NickelDimeBaseEPA allowed, gameEPA allowed, last season+0.02−0.12−0.49−0.16−1.11−0.35

Sumer charting

Seattle pressured Brock Purdy on 38.2% of his 34 dropbacks, below the 43.6% rate it had forced over its first four games, but still held him to -0.188 EPA per dropback, below its -0.123 mark over those four games. Seattle blitzed 20.6% of the time and played man coverage on 20.6% of those snaps, more than double its 9.4% man rate over its first four games.

San Francisco's dropbacks against Seattle
This gameEarlier this seasonLast seasonNFL this season
Plays341496915,638
Stunt rate29.4%26.8%36.6%28.8%
Pressure rate38.2%43.6%35.6%40.0%
EPA allowed per dropback−0.19−0.12−0.12+0.03

Sumer charting

San Francisco converted 4 of 12 third downs, 33.3%, after converting 57.5% over its first four games. Purdy ran for 6 yards after averaging 30.5 a game. George Kittle had 24 receiving yards against his 61.0-yard average. Mike Evans was the exception, with 113, more than double his average.

San Francisco's offense, Sunday vs its first four games
MeasureSundayFirst four games
Third downs converted (%)33.357.5
Purdy rushing yards6.030.5
Mike Evans receiving yards113.053.2
George Kittle receiving yards24.061.0

nflverse play-by-play. First four games are per-game averages, except third-down rate.

Without fullback Kyle Juszczyk, out with a knee injury, the 49ers never lined up with two backs. They had used two backs on 47.8% of their plays over the first four games. They used two tight ends on 41.1% of plays instead, against 14.9% before.

San Francisco's personnel without its fullback
GamesTwo backs (21 and 22)Two tight ends (12)
Sunday0.0%41.1%
First four games47.8%14.9%

Sumer charting

San Francisco ran the ball 22 times for 88 yards. Seattle allowed -0.132 EPA per carry, above its -0.246 season mark against the run, third-best in the league, though the 49ers converted half those carries into a successful play. Christian McCaffrey's 11-yard touchdown run came on the first play after Wilson's fumble.

San Francisco's rushing game against Seattle
CarriesYardsEPA allowedSuccess rate allowed
2288−0.1350.0%

nflverse play-by-play

04SeahawksSmall sample

Darnold's first pass has now been picked off two weeks running

Darnold's first pass has been intercepted in two straight games. Sunday added a wrinkle that's even rarer.

2 tablessince 1999
Free readers pick 2 sections a day. Patrons read every one. Read this free Become a patron
05SeahawksSmall sample

Seattle's line had its hands full against a 49ers front that wasn't supposed to be this good

San Francisco's pass rush and run defense both ranked in the bottom half of the league coming in. Here's how each Seahawks lineman handled it.

4 tables
Free readers pick 2 sections a day. Patrons read every one. Read this free Become a patron
Catch the show live
HB LIVE! First Show At Victory Hall With Brady Henderson
Sat, Oct 244 to 6 PMVictory Hall
Get tickets
06SeahawksSmall sample

The last time Seattle fumbled this much, it was 2025

Seven fumbles in three games sounds like a lot. Here is the last time it happened.

2 tablessince 1999
Free readers pick 2 sections a day. Patrons read every one. Read this free Become a patron
07SeahawksSmall sample

Byron Murphy ranks among the NFL's most disruptive tackles, against the run and the pass

Few defensive tackles show up in both the pass rush and run defense numbers. Byron Murphy is one of them.

6 tables1 chart
Free readers pick 2 sections a day. Patrons read every one. Read this free Become a patron
The latest show
POSTGAME SHOW: Seahawks Fumble Away Game Watch
Tuesday: final charting from the San Francisco game, with motion and play action.

Want the other sections?

Patrons read every section, every day. Fridays are open to everyone.

Become a patron

hawkblogger.com · Get the free edition · Patreon